"That's when the tensions and the fault lines become apparent." Ruling it, in Afghanistan's case, is the difficult bit," historian William Dalrymple, an expert on Pashtun tribal rivalries, told RFE/RL.
"Conquering a country is always the easy part. Will The Taliban Stay United To Govern, Or Splinter Into Regional Fiefdoms? Indeed, independent analysts say the possibility appears greater than ever that the unity of the Taliban insurgency could splinter into regional Taliban fiefdoms now that the task is to actually govern - with the Haqqani network in the east and a Kandahar-based faction of Taliban co-founders in the western half of the country. "One cannot deny the prospect of Afghanistan's new slide into civil war," Toriya said. Masato Toriya, a specialist on the region from Tokyo University, says the Taliban-led government's complete lack of management experience is exacerbating an already dire economy situation - causing living conditions across Afghanistan to deteriorate further.Ĭompounded by internal rifts that are emerging between rival factions of the Taliban leadership, Toriya says the threat of a civil war reigniting in Afghanistan is now serious.
TALIBAN INSURGENCY SERIES
It has been just a month since Taliban militants seized control of Kabul and declared Afghanistan as an "Islamic emirate" that will uphold the militant movement's interpretation of "Islamic rules and Shari'a law."īut already, the new Taliban regime is struggling to deal with a series of political, social, and economic crises that are testing its ability to transform from a guerrilla insurgency into a functional government.īy many accounts, the Taliban is failing the test.